Every team in College Football has games during the season that will define that particular year. These games ultimately determine whether the campaign is a success or a failure. Saturday in Madison Wisconsin is a defining game for both the Huskers and the Badgers. The winner will move forward with all of their goals intact. The loser will be forced to play out the season and wonder what may have been. It is clear that the winner of the West will more than likely be the winner of this game. Wisconsin has the clear edge with both the location of this game, and the health of Husker RB Ameer Abdullah. Still, the outcome of this game is definitely up in the air.
When Nebraska has the ball both teams will be facing outstanding units. The Wisconsin Defense is good, really good. The Badgers are giving up just 251 yards per game, and just 14.3 points per game. They rank in the top 3 Nationally in both of those statistical categories. Some of the gaudy numbers defensively are due to the Badgers ball control offense that limits possessions, but these numbers are more indicative of the way this group has developed as the year has gone along. Believe it or not, the Badgers had to replace their entire front 7 from a year ago. That is remarkable. As smothering as the Wisconsin defense has been, they have not played an Offense nearly as good as the Big Red. In fact Wisconsin has only played 2 teams with an offense that ranks in the top 70 in total offense. Bowling Green ranks 34th in total offense while LSU ranks 67th. Nebraska ranks 17th. In the past I have called the Big Red Offense bipolar for their up and down roller coaster performances. I will not back off that claim, but a look at the numbers shows an offense that is damn good. Nebraska ranks 10th nationally in both points per game and rushing yards per game. The Huskers rank 17th nationally with 490 yards per game. This is a versatile and prolific unit, the likes of which the Badgers have not seen.
The matchup turning issues are 2 fold. First, can Nebraska avoid the big mistake that has haunted them in big games in years past. In their only defeat NU turned the ball over 4 times against Michigan State. In their last outing against Purdue NU committed 3 turnovers. In recent weeks, the Huskers have flubbed around with penalties and a mystifying problem with the QB/Center exchange. That dog wont hunt Saturday. Nebraska must not shoot themselves in the foot in order to beat the Badgers. Secondly the health of Ameer Abdullah is paramount. Abdullah’s importance to the NU Offense cannot be understated. Hell, he averages 187 all purpose yards per game, best in the country. If he cannot play, or is not 100%, who will step up for Nebraska and pick up some of the slack? There are numerous candidates, but the one that stands out most is Tommy Armstrong. If Abdullah is limited, Armstrong will have to take this unit on his back. He will be forced to torch the Wisconsin Defense with tight throws and sound choices. I believe he can do this, but his performances to this point are that of an inconsistent QB. I believe the Huskers will have to avoid the costly mistakes AND get key performances to beat the Badgers. In my opinion, its a tall order.
The keys to the game are pretty damn simple when the Wisconsin Offense is on the field. The team that controls the line of scrimmage will win this game. Wisconsin is about as one dimensional as it gets. They rank 117th in the country in passing yards per game. The trouble for NU is that the Badgers typically aren’t forced to throw the ball. UW can pound the rock behind that beefy Offensive Line, all around stud Melvin Gordon and terrific backup Corey Clement. Its exhausting for defenders. The onus on Nebraska is to limit the run on 1st and 2nd down, and force the Badgers into obvious passing situations. Wisconsin lacks playmakers on the outside, and Joel Stave is decent, but he is no Aaron Rodgers. Slowing the run is obviously easier said than done, but I believe that Nebraska possesses the kind of Defensive Line that can stand up to this ridiculous rushing attack. Maleik Collins, Randy Gregory, Greg McMullen and company are capable, but it will be a street fight in the trenches. This game will test the will of the Blackshirts. Will they have the stones to beat the Badgers?
There will be a lot of talk about the Badger beatdowns of 2011 and 2012. Those games could not be more irrelevant to the game played Saturday afternoon. Not a single Husker defender recorded a tackle in that catastrophe in Indianapolis 2 years ago. Not one. Additionally the following players will not be suited up for Wisconsin: Russel Wilson, Jared Abbrederis, Mike Taylor, Chris Borland, Jacob Pederson, Monte Ball, Travis Frederick, and of course Brett Bielema is now at Arkansas. The point is that the whoopings of years past should have no factor in the ball game whatsoever. I expect this game to be a brawl. I have enormous respect for Wisconsin and coach Gary Andersen. That is a team with an identity and they stick to it to the end of the earth. The Huskers will have to earn it in Camp Randall. Its up to Bo Pelini to get this team ready for the fight. Buckle your chinstrap and bring a sack lunch, this game will be a bruiser. Both of these teams will be hungry for the drivers seat in the Big 10 West. Games like this are what makes College Football so freaking fantastic. Is it Saturday yet?
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